Updated through Friday March 2nd
Big East
Locks- Syracuse, GTown, Marquette, L-Ville, NDame, Cincinnati
UConn- Record- 17-12 (7-10 in Big East)
Games Remaining- vs Pitt
Ken Pom Rating- 39
Ken Pom SOS- 11
Quality Wins (vs. Ken Pom Top 75)- Florida St. (neutral), Harvard, at SFla, WVA, at NDame, SHall
Bad Losses- at Rutgers, at Prov
Record vs. Other Bubble Teams- 4-2- Wins over Harv, SFla, SHall, WVa and Losses to UCF, SHall
In or Out right now- In- After the last loss at Providence, UConn moves dangerously close to the bubble. They do have several quality wins over Ken Pom top 75 teams; however, at best they will be 8-10 in the Big East entering selection Sunday, and they have lost 11 of 16 games overall. Traditionally, the committee punishes teams with losing conference records and teams that struggle to close the season. The head-to-head wins over West Virginia and South Florida help their cause here when comparing several equally average resumes. UConn needs to get a win over Pitt to end the year and win at least one round in the conference tourney to retain their position.
WVA- Record- 18-12 (8-9 in Big East)
Games Remaining- at SFla
Ken Pom Rating- 45
Ken Pom SOS- 19
Quality Wins (vs. Ken Pom Top 75)- GTown, Kan St. (Neutral), Miami (Fl.), Akron, Marshall (Neutral), Cincy
Bad Losses- Kent St. (Home), at St. John's, Pitt (Home)
Record vs. Other Bubble Teams- 1-3- Wins over Mia (Fl.) and Losses to Miss St., SHall, UConn
In or Out right now- Out- The home collapse against Marquette severely damaged their tourney chances. Like UConn, West Virginia has several quality wins but needs a few more to get in the field. A win at suddenly hot South Florida would go a long way toward getting them back in. With a 3-7 record in their last 10, another loss would be devastating.
SHall- Record- 19-10 (8-9 in Big East)
Games Remaining- at Depaul
Ken Pom Rating- 43
Ken Pom SOS- 45
Quality Wins (vs. Ken Pom Top 75)- GTown, VCU (Neutral), St. Joe's (Neutral), WVA, UConn
Bad Losses- Rutgers (Home)
Record vs. Other Bubble Teams- 4-3- Wins over VCU, St. Joe's, WVa, UConn and Losses to NWestern, SFla, UConn
In or Out right now- In- The loss to Rutgers was their first this year outside the Ken Pom top 100; as a result, Seton Hall enters this weekend in need of a win at DePaul to finish .500 in conference. Their situation is as tenuous as UConn's with any loss potentially dropping them from the field. They don't have as many quality wins as UConn or West Virginia, but they still have defeated both teams this year. The Pirates currently slide into the field as an 11 or 12 seed.
SFlorida- Record- 19-11 (12-5 in Big East)
Games Remaining- vs. WVa
Ken Pom Rating- 62
Ken Pom SOS- 13
Quality Wins (vs. Ken Pom Top 75)- SHall, Cincy, L-Ville
Bad Losses- Penn St. (Neutral), at Aub
Record vs. Other Bubble Teams- 1-3- Win over SHall and Losses to SMiss, VCU, UConn
In or Out right now- In- The Bulls played their way into the field with impressive victories over Cincy and L-Ville. With a 12-5 record in conference play and only 4 losses this year, South Florida is a difficult team to keep out of the field. They have leapfrogged UConn, Seton Hall, and West Virginia this week in the conference pecking order, and a win over West Va will secure an NCAA berth heading into the conference tourney.
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