Thursday, December 22, 2011

Las Vegas Bowl Bettors Preview- Boise St. vs Arizona St.

Bowl Record- Plays- 2-1
Leans- 2-1

8:00 EST- Boise St. (11-1) (-14) vs. Arizona St. (6-6) O/U-66- Make no mistake, the talent gap between these two teams is not that sizable; however, there are several reasons Boise is lined as a two touchdown favorite. Ariz St's motivation is highly questionable after a late season collapse and the firing of head coach, Dennis Erickson. After 8 games, the Sun Devils were 6-2 and a virtual lock for the Pac-12 South Title. After that, they went 1-5 and were left out of the title game. Now, they will face a formidable Bronco team with a lame duck coach leading a back-sliding team.

Boise has issues of their own. They have not covered a game since Oct. 15th (6 straight ATS losses). In addition, this team was hoping for a BCS appearance. Now, they need to play a pre-christmas bowl game against a .500 ball club; nonetheless, they have 25 seniors on the roster who will want to finish their careers on a positive note.

Play- Slight Lean to Boise St. I can't trust them with an 0-6 ATS record to end the year, especially against a team with equal (if not better) talent. I do think it's a strong possibility that Ariz St does not show up, so I will be interested to see what happens in the 1st half. Depending on Ariz St's effort (or lack thereof), a 2nd half wager could be a decent play. Play the Over at 66. When two teams come in with questionable motivation, the offenses tend to outplay the defenses. With two nfl-caliber starting qb's looking to showcase their talents, 66 is an attainable number.

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