Updated through Saturday February 25th
A-10
Locks- Temple, St. Louis
Xavier- Record- 18-10 (9-5 in A-10)
Games Remaining- at St. Louis, at Char
Ken Pom Rating- 54
Ken Pom SOS- 40
Quality Wins (vs. Ken Pom Top 75)- at Vandy, Pur, Cincy, St. Bona, St. Joe's, Day
Bad Losses- at Hawaii
Record vs. Other Bubble Teams- 4-3- Wins over Pur, Cincy, St. Joe's, Day and Losses to LB St., Mem, Day
In or Out right now- In- After starting the season in strong top 15 caliber fashion, the Musketeers hit a wall when multiple starters were suspended following their brawl with Cincinnati. They lost 5 of 6 during that stretch and dropped out of the top 25. The committee, however, must give Xavier some leniency for those losses because they weren't at full strength. The early season wins over Vandy, Purdue, and Cincy, in addition to the respectable (although not spectacular) conference record should be enough to get them in the field.
St. Joe's- Record- 18-11 (8-6 in A-10)
Games Remaining- at St. Bona
Ken Pom Rating- 63
Ken Pom SOS- 54
Quality Wins (vs. Ken Pom Top 75)- Temp, Drex, Creigh, LaSalle, UMass, Day
Bad Losses- at American, Char, at Penn, Rich
Record vs. Other Bubble Teams- 2-4- Wins over Drex, Day and Losses to SHall, Iona, Harv, Xav
In or Out right now- Out- The win yesterday over Temple was huge for their tourney chances, but they still need to do more to overcome their litany of bad losses. Although 2 of their 4 losses to bubble teams were tightly contested road games, the committee must still consider taking Seton Hall, Iona, Harvard, and Xavier over the Hawks as at-large teams by virtue of their head-to-head wins. St. Joe's will have to earn a few quality wins in the A-10 tourney to make it in the field.
Dayton- Record- 18-10 (8-6 in A-10)
Games Remaining- at Rich, vs. GW
Ken Pom Rating- 59
Ken Pom SOS- 67
Quality Wins (vs. Ken Pom Top 75)- Minn (neutral), Bama, St. Louis, at Temp, LaSalle, Xavier
Bad Losses- RI (Home), Duq (Home), Buff (Home), at Mia (Oh.)
Record vs. Other Bubble Teams- 3-3- Wins over Minn, Bama, Xav and Losses to Xav, SHall, St. Joe's
In or Out right now- Out- The Flyers have several quality wins, but have succumb to weaker competition throughout the season. Although Dayton is traditionally strong at home, they lost 3 home games this year to teams outside the Ken Pom top 100. They still have an outside chance to make the field, but they need to win out and make some noise in the A-1o tourney.
C-USA
Locks- None
Memphis- Record- 21-8 (11-3 in C-USA)
Games Remaining- vs. UCF, at Tulsa
Ken Pom Rating- 14
Ken Pom SOS- 50
Quality Wins (vs. Ken Pom Top 75)- Belmont, Tenn x 2, at Mia (Fl.), SMiss, Xav
Bad Losses- UTEP (Home)
Record vs. Other Bubble Teams- 3-2- Wins over Belmont, Mia (Fl.), SMiss and Losses to SMiss, UCF
In or Out right now- In- Memphis' win over Xavier earlier this month virtually secured their NCAA berth. They just needed to avoid bad losses down the stretch, and, with the exception of UTEP, they have done so. Barring back-to-back losses and a first round C-USA tourney exit, Memphis should be in the NCAA field once again.
UCF- Record- 20-8 (9-5 in C-USA)
Games Remaining- at Mem, vs. UAB
Ken Pom Rating- 79
Ken Pom SOS- 122
Quality Wins (vs. Ken Pom Top 75)- UConn, Mem
Bad Losses- at LaLaf, at Rice
Record vs. Other Bubble Teams- 2-3- Wins over UConn, Mem and Losses to Harv and SMiss x 2
In or Out right now- Out- The loss to Rice earlier this week was costly for their NCAA chances. They only have 2 quality wins to go along with their 2 bad losses at La-Lafayette and Rice. If they beat Memphis on the road or make a deep C-USA tourney run, they could still make the field, but they definitely have work left to do.
SMiss- Record- 23-6 (10-4 in C-USA)
Games Remaining- vs. SMU, at Marshall
Ken Pom Rating- 65
Ken Pom SOS- 74
Quality Wins (vs. Ken Pom Top 75)- Mem, NM St. x 2, SFlorida, UCF x 2, Tulsa
Bad Losses- at UAB, at Hou, at UTEP
Record vs. Other Bubble Teams- 5-1- Wins over Mem, UCF x 2, SFla, Colo St. and a Loss to Mem
In or Out right now- In- On February 7th, Southern Miss had the resume of a 6/7 seed in the tourney; however, they have struggled down the stretch with poor losses to UAB, Houston, and UTEP. Like Memphis, Southern Miss just needs to take care of business down the stretch by avoiding multiple bad losses and they will be in the field.
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