Monday, December 26, 2011

Independence Bowl Bettors Preview- North Carolina vs. Missouri

Plays- 4-1
Leans- 3-1

5:30 EST Monday- Missouri (7-5) (-5.5) vs. UNC (7-5) O/U 52.5- Few teams in the country battled more injury issues than the Missouri Tigers this year. Entering this bowl game, they are the healthiest they've been since before the season. They also enter this game streaking, having won 5 of their last 7 games. Meanwhile, UNC enters this bowl game having lost 4 of 6, including an embarrassing 13-0 shut out at rival NC St. Comparing these teams schedules, Missouri played the 15th toughest schedule in the country, while UNC played the 57th. Missouri's 5 losses were all of high quality (OT at Ariz St, by 10 at #19 Okla, by 7 at #10 Kan St, by 21 vs #3 Okla St, and by 3 at #16 Baylor), while UNC also lost all 5 of their games to .500 or above competition. From a YPP (Yards Per Play) perspective, both teams have an advantage offensively against each others defense.

Play- The difference in this game might be coaching. With UNC interim coach Everett Withers headed to Ohio St, its hard to believe his coaching level will rival Missouri Head Coach Gary Pinkel's. Since we have a motivated, healthy, and streaking Tigers squad, Play Missouri -5.5. They should be able to move the ball offensively with ease, while making just enough stops to cover the number. Slight lean also to the over with this number seeming a bit low for these two offensively efficient squads. The inconsistency of UNC and the shakiness of Missouri's kicker will keep this at a lean.

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